Archive for May, 2010

Forex Market in Anticipation of hike in BOC

Monday, May 31st, 2010

In this week the market mainly focuses on rate hike of BOC since, the market were pricing only forty percent at only one point where as 25 bps rate hike in terms of BOC as anticipated for this week in the market. But it is seen that OECD has taken an strict action against the BOC and ordered them to remove all the policies that leads the investors to increment their betting as the stocks gets rebounded in past week. Therefore, at the end of the week it is noticed that market gets only a seventy percent rate hike since we all know that BOC rate hike is not a done deal in the market. It is seen that there was a recovery seen in the past week in the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies and commodities of the market. The market experts anticipated that the US and UK market is to be returned on Monday or Tuesday so traders have to be cautious while trading in the forex online market.

Also in this week it was predicted that RBA may take meeting for giving details about the minutes of there “pause” taken in the month of may. There were seven meetings taken by the banks and issued the borrowing cost raising up to six times. Although this was expected from the starting of the May month before the intensification of the Euro zone financial crisis and also before the fall of the stock market. There was also a fall seen in the Australian market after fourth of May to 4194 from the high of 4753 index level. It seems to be a 12 percent low but again shows a rebound at the end of the month and reaches to 4479 level. But it is still at a low of 11 percent as compared to a high level of 5048 in the month of April. Overall it is expected in the market for a June hike that RBA should take a move that will ignore the previous statements of RBA, so is Aussie.

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Economic global growth foundations should be strengthened – BOJ

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

After April 30 meet the BOJ has released minutes Yesterday. The minutes contains the views of the members of the meet that all agreed for the same thing that the “economic global growth foundations should be strengthened”. Some members also shows their concerns in terms of the side effects of the easing in the market which ultimately impacts on the financial condition if there was a fall seen in the profit of the bank in terms of interest rate.

Now about the strengths and recoveries seen in the Yesterday’s Forex session. First of all about the US major currency Dollar. There was a recovery shown by the Dollar in the late Forex session as it reaches to 86.33 level but the up gradation in Dollar is still limited at the level below 87.46 high. We cannot deny the rise seen in the dollar but it is also the truth it is not equal to other major currencies of the market. The fall of US stocks Dow also strengthen the rise of Dollar since it is the truth that the risk sentiments are the major driver in the Forex market.

Now the latest update about the euro currency as it we have seen that there is no change noticed in the weak euro currency instead there is a sharp fall in the currency pair EUR/GBP. The whole fall seems to be resumed at the level of 0.9317. EUR/CHF is also seems to be rebound on the last week’s way for reaching a high of 1.45867 again. But there is a possibility of intervention is also seen near the level of 1.40 in the currency pair. That’s all about the latest about the Forex online market.

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Banking Problem – Spain’s highest priority concern

Wednesday, May 26th, 2010

A sharp fall was seen in the Dollar index yesterday that made the USD unable to break through the 87 level and dropped down. There was a recovery seen in the currency pair of EUR/USD and reaches to level of 1.2671 where as GBP/USD rises to 1.4527 high along with the recovery of AUD/USD to 0.8363 level. Crude oil tumbles further to the level below 67 while Gold remains steady at 1190 level in the Asian market. US equities open at low level to provide an additional support to the USD currency and Japanese Yen.

EUR/JPY pair reaches to a low level at 109.32 point in the Forex online market along with the currency pair AUD/JPY that dives to 72.04 low level but this does not impact on the major currency of Japan that is Yen. As we have seen that Japan’s currency Yen is still in upward position in the market and may rise to high level in the coming Forex session. The currency pair NWZ/JPY again drops this week as compared to the last week’s session. Where as there is some rise shown by the CAD/JPY to regain the past high of 94.46 level. But, it can be said that the currency pair remains bearish although the resistance holds at 85.86 level.

The banking problem in Spain is the highest priority concern among the market investors because this will lead the European currency to wide spread in the Global economic market which impacts the economic recovery of the market. IMF warned the Spain’s bank about the consolidations remains low then the Spanish banks have to get prepared otherwise the financial trouble will lead the bank into an intervention.

BOE policy makers specified the fact about the Japanese economy that it faced the same condition as the UK and US economy is facing today and it may lead to the recessionary condition due to the small policy making mistakes. But the Posen also specified that one major problem that was not faced  by the Japan’s economy in their recession time was that the poor demand of external prospects along with the productive resource reallocation need.

The euro zone countries again facing the same problem as faced by the last two weeks since the EUR/JPY currency pair falls to 109 level had confirmed the resume of downtrend. The upside break in the currency pair leads to the bullish convergence condition. Although we are expecting a strong support at the level below 2000 in the major currency pair of Japan.

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